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6 JANUARY: WEEKLY MOTORCYCLE INDUSTRY SHARE PRICES

A snapshot of global bike and ATV industry share performance at the trading week closure on Friday 6 January 2017.

 

New York was modestly upbeat during a quiet first week of 2017, and surprisingly unperturbed when feeble US employment growth data for December was announced on Friday morning. Already near to a record high, the S&P 500 index closed 0.6% up.

Harley-Davidson improved on that with a 1.3% rise, still failing to reach and stick above the 60-buck mark it managed a month ago. Polaris did better by adding 5%, presumably because it’s sunk so low that investors now regard the stock as a cheap risk.

In Europe, the eurozone-wide FTSE Eurofirst 300 perked up by 1.4% as prospects for an Italian banking-sector meltdown temporarily receded. Every motorcycle-related share listing was positive. Strongest was VW, boasting a 4.4% lift. Fellow German automotives BMW and Daimler just outstripped the average, respectively with 1.8% and 1.6%. KTM also achieved a 1.6% improvement and only Piaggio lagged slightly, 1.3% up.

Japanese sentiment was weakest in the developed world as news of some significant industrial losses impinged on confidence. Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 struggled to get traction and finished only 0.2% up across the week. Suzuki and Honda confounded the gloom thanks to respective 6.7% and 2.5% hikes. Kawasaki sank by a mercifully slim 0.8%. However, Yamaha was on the naughty step, ending 1.7% down after a sharp 3.7% plunge on Friday.

As for major emerging countries, India remains confused following its “demonetisation” farce. For big-league BSE Sensex 30 players, any return to share-price growth was tentative, as the index put on only a 0.5% weekly increase. Of the two motorcycle brands large enough for Sensex status, Hero MotoCorp actually bettered that with 0.8% rise, while Bajaj did the opposite, losing 0.5%. Indian non-Sensex star performers TVS and Eicher blithely overwhelmed investor nerves, though, achieving respective 7.4% and 4.2% boosts.

In China, stock markets were encouraged by 2016 final-quarter growth figures and untroubled by the possibility of an impending trade war with the US. Shanghai’s Composite index rose by 1.4% and, apart from only one minor exception, bike producers added value.                                 

          

Price (P) Daily change (C) 52-week range (R) One-year investment return (Y) 

 

USA (US dollar)

Harley-Davidson    P 59.10  C -0.92%  R 62.35 – 36.36  Y +39.14%

Polaris    P 86.56  C +1.8%  R 104.25 – 67.80  Y +10.37%

Arctic Cat    P 15.98  C -1.9%  R 19.82 – 8.90  Y +11.44%

US Highland    P 0.0008  C +60%  R 0.27 – 0.0002  Y N/A

Confederate    P 0.04  C N/A  R 0.27 – 0.04  Y N/A

Notes: Polaris makes Victory and Indian bikes, ATVs, snowmobiles, quadricycles and EVs. Arctic Cat makes ATVs and snowmobiles. US Highland makes off-road bikes. Confederate Motors makes limited-edition cruisers.

 

CANADA (Canadian dollar)

BRP    P 28.77  C +0.17%  R 29.09 – 13.76  Y +51.58%

Notes: Bombardier Recreational Products makes Can-Am ATVs and Spyder road trikes, Ski-Doo snowmobiles, Sea-Doo PWCs and Rotax proprietary engines.

 

TAIWAN (Taiwanese dollar)

Sanyang    P 20.60  C -0.24%  R 23.90 – 19.80  Y +3.33%

Notes: Sanyang Motor (SYM) is the leading Taiwanese bike manufacturer.

 

VIETNAM (Hong Kong dollar)

VMEPH    P 0.49  C N/A  R 0.54 – 0.36  Y +10.59%

Notes: Vietnam Manufacturing & Export Processing Holdings, a JV partner of SYM, is the third-largest Vietnamese bike manufacturer.

 

INDONESIA (rupiah)

Astra    P 8175  C +0.62%  R 8875 – 5700  Y +38.38%

Indomobil    P 1395  C -0.36%  R 2395 – 1250  Y -39.45%

Notes: Astra International is a Honda JV partner. Its controlling shareholder is British conglomerate Jardine Matheson. Indomobil Sukses Internasional is a Suzuki JV partner.

 

EUROPE (euro)

BMW    P 90.39  C +0.42%  R 91.76 – 63.38  Y +14.62%

Daimler    P 71.88  C -0.23%  R 72.64 – 50.83  Y +11.46%

VW    P 142.87  C -0.02%  R 145.30 – 106.65 Y +14.73%

KTM    P 5.18  C N/A  R 5.40 – 3.25  Y +43.54%

Piaggio    P 1.61  C -0.43%  R 2.14 – 1.39  Y -17.56%

Notes: Daimler’s AMG-Mercedes subsidiary has a 25% stake in MV Agusta. Volkswagen Group owns Ducati.

 

PAKISTAN (Pakistani rupee)

Atlas Honda    P 609.00  C +0.2%  R 620.00 – 349.60  Y N/A

Pak Suzuki    P 620.00  C -0.55%  R 643.00 – 363.01  Y N/A

Notes: Atlas Honda and Pak Suzuki are JV assembly partners.

 

INDIA (rupee)

Hero    P 3067.55  C -0.14%  R 3740.00 – 2375.00  Y +26.11%

Bajaj    P 2707.35  C -0.59%  R 3120.00 – 2171.95  Y N/A

TVS    P 387.10  C +0.6%  R 420.00 – 256.00  Y N/A 

Eicher    P 22,717.75  C +1.76%  R 26,641.30 – 14,800.00  Y +32.49%

Mahindra    P 1220.45  C -0.56%  R 1508.95 – 1091.25  Y +2.73%

Maharashtra    P 1597.35  C +0.35%  R 2170.00 – 1056.00  Y +17.1%

Scooters India    P 39.05  C +0.26%  R 44.85 – 22.65  Y +25.56%

Notes: Hero MotoCorp is a former Honda JV partner. Bajaj has a major shareholding in KTM and ties with it and Kawasaki. TVS is a former Suzuki JV partner and BMW Motorrad contractor. Eicher makes the Royal Enfield brand. Mahindra & Mahindra has an own-brand bike range, a majority stake in French scooter brand Peugeot and owns formerly British BSA brand rights. Maharashtra Scooters assembles CKD scooter kits manufactured by Bajaj. Scooters India makes Vikram three-wheeled taxis and light trucks.

 

JAPAN (yen)

Honda    P 3501  C -1.91%  R 3646 – 2417  Y +2.97%

Yamaha    P 2530  C -3.73%  R 2834 – 1409  Y +5.68%

Suzuki    P 4270  C -0.23%  R 4322 – 2450  Y N/A

Kawasaki    P 364  C -2.41%  R 422 – 257  Y -7.65%

 

CHINA (yuan)

Qianjiang    P 16.84  C -0.94%  R 20.48 – 6.71  Y +87.53%

Zongshen    P 9.56  C +0.84%  R 11.85 – 8.08  Y -9.53%  

Sundiro    P 7.92  C -1.49%  R 9.94 – 5.61  Y +15.24%

Jialing    P 11.23  C +2.84%  R 12.01 – 5.67  Y +38.3%

Lifan    P 9.75  C +0.52%  R 15.00 – 8.05  Y -26.17%

Loncin    P 21.25  C -0.89%  R 25.35 – 14.80  Y +13%

Linhai    P 19.03  C -2.51%  R 21.57 – 8.41  Y +72.69%

GAG    P 22.91  C -1.04%  R 26.27 – 18.10  Y +4.84%

 

CHINA (Hong Kong dollar)

Jianshe    P 13.13  C +2.02%  R 18.24 – 11.25  Y -25.82%

Notes: Qianjiang owns Keeway and formerly Italian Benelli. Zongshen makes own-brand bikes and proprietary engines, and has JV partnerships with Piaggio, (scooters), and Harley-Davidson (parts). Sundiro is a Honda JV partner. Jialing makes own-brand bikes using Honda licensed technology. Lifan makes own-brand bikes and distributes MV Agusta in China. Loncin is a Kawasaki JV partner and OEM engine contractor to BMW Motorrad. Linhai and Jianshe are Yamaha JV partners. Guangzhou Automobile Group (GAG) is the parent of Honda JV partner and own-brand bike manufacturer Wuyang.

 

MALAYSIA (ringgit)

Oriental Holdings    P 6.78  C -0.15%  R 7.52 – 6.48  Y +1.03%

Hong Leong    P 9.60  C -1.34%  R 10.08 – 5.25  Y +69.78%

Notes: Oriental Holdings is a Honda JV partner. Hong Leong Industries is a Yamaha JV partner.

 

SOUTH KOREA (won)

KR    P 922  C -0.65%  R 1350 – 661  Y -25.34%

Daelim    P 87,300  C -0.11%  R 94,300 – 62,200  Y +37.91%

Notes: KR Motors makes Hyosung bikes and ATVs. Daelim Industrial retains a controlling 59% stake in Daelim Motor, the largest bike manufacturer in Korea. (The remainder is British, owned by Standard Chartered Bank.)

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